Blog & Resources

The Nature of Risk

The Nature of Risk

Back to the Basics: What is risk? Legendary football coach Vince Lombardi opened training camp for the Green Bay Packers in 1961 in historic fashion. The Packers had blown a 4th-quarter lead in the NFL Championship Game...

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q3

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q3

Our Q2 outlook called for an economic downturn commencing in 2024. However, based on the strength of more recent data, we are revising our forecast. It now appears that the Fed may succeed in engineering a soft landing, a...

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q2

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q2

With the media-manufactured “systemic banking crisis” apparently behind us, the bond market has returned its focus to inflation data. As a result, yields have returned to near March levels, and the inversion in the curve...

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q1

Economic Risk Monitor – 2023 Q1

Data from the first quarter of 2023 is beginning to show cracks in the U.S. economy’s performance. While headline inflation has receded, households are still beset with higher prices. The Fed has continued to firm monetary...

Could Your Credit Union Suffer the Same Fate?

Could Your Credit Union Suffer the Same Fate?

Considering the recent events around the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and other major banks, now is a good time to revisit your assessment of liquidity and interest rate risks and, even more importantly, validate your...