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Liquidity is Back – But Where Did it Come From?

Liquidity is Back – But Where Did it Come From?

by Brian Hague, CFA | May 22, 2024 | Economics, Enterprise Risk Management, Lending, Risk Management, Strategy

U.S. credit unions, and other financial institutions, experienced a liquidity crunch in 2023 unlike anything seen in recent years. Aggregate deposit growth for the credit union industry in 2023 was less than 2%, the lowest since before 1982. In the first quarter of...
The Myth of Falling Inflation

The Myth of Falling Inflation

by Brian Hague, CFA | Dec 18, 2023 | Economics, Enterprise Risk Management, Risk Management, Strategy

The headline inflation rate – specifically, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) – has declined on a year-over-year basis from a peak of 8.9% in June of 2022 to 3.2% as of October, the latest reading. Last June’s inflation level was the highest since 1981. The decline has...
The Nature of Risk

The Nature of Risk

by Brian Hague, CFA | Nov 2, 2023 | Enterprise Risk Management, Operational Risk Assessment, Risk Management, Strategy

Back to the Basics: What is risk? Legendary football coach Vince Lombardi opened training camp for the Green Bay Packers in 1961 in historic fashion. The Packers had blown a 4th-quarter lead in the NFL Championship Game against the Eagles the previous year. The...
As Housing Goes, So Goes The Economy

As Housing Goes, So Goes The Economy

by Brian Hague, CFA | Sep 6, 2022 | Economics, Lending, Uncategorized

Those words, uttered by President George H. W. Bush in 1992, may be a harbinger of things to come, if the most recent home price data is any indication. After more than a year of widespread bubble-like increases in home prices across the U.S., the June data revealed...
Lessons From 1994: An Interest Rate Retrospective

Lessons From 1994: An Interest Rate Retrospective

by Brian Hague, CFA | Feb 16, 2022 | Economics, Risk Management, Strategy

Consumer inflation is at the highest level in 40 years: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year is up 7.5% as of January 2022, the highest rate since February 1982. To put that in perspective, the last time consumer inflation was this high I was an undergraduate...
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