2015: The year of the consumer

After several years of intently watching the Fed for clues as to the economy, the markets and interest rates, 2015 will be the year that we can finally take our eyes off the Fed, and focus on the consumer. Think this year won’t be about the consumer? Think again. The...

Interest Rate Risk

The NCUA is hyper-focused on interest rate risk (IRR). They go so far as to include an “Interest Rate Risk Resources” button on their main webpage that includes, among other items, a video featuring NCUA Chief Economist John Worth highlighting the agency’s concerns...

When good is bad

The latest home price numbers (through May, according to S&P/Case-Shiller) looked pretty solid: the benchmark 20-City Composite measure was up 9.3% year-over-year (YOY).  All 20 markets posted gains on an unadjusted basis, though 14 showed YOY declines when...