Interest Rate Risk

The NCUA is hyper-focused on interest rate risk (IRR). They go so far as to include an “Interest Rate Risk Resources” button on their main webpage that includes, among other items, a video featuring NCUA Chief Economist John Worth highlighting the agency’s concerns...

When good is bad

The latest home price numbers (through May, according to S&P/Case-Shiller) looked pretty solid: the benchmark 20-City Composite measure was up 9.3% year-over-year (YOY).  All 20 markets posted gains on an unadjusted basis, though 14 showed YOY declines when...

Every rose has its thorns

A number of economists are presenting a pretty rosy outlook for the U.S. economy over the next several quarters. While I don’t disagree with the general positive direction of their forecasts, nor with the general contribution to those forecasts of their various...